Here are my top three predictions for social web trends for 2011: the good, the bad and the ugly.
– The Good: Location based applications like Foursquare and recommendation applications like Glue will get traction beyond the early adapter niche, as people become more intentional in having meaningful real-time and face-time interactions.
– The Bad: Mainstream social networks like Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn will struggle to balance user experience and privacy on one hand, and monetization priorities on the other hand. Almost always, monetization pressures will prevail and all three social networks will become (much) more commercial.
– The Ugly: Governments is several open democracies like US, UK, Australia and India will pass regressive cyber-security laws to limit online freedom of expression and online anonymity (even as the Wikileaks saga continues). By the end of 2011, government censorship and surveillance of the internet will become the accepted norm, in both “open democracies” and “authoritarian regimes”.
What about you? What are your perspectives on these three predictions? What are your own top three social web predictions for 2011? Do share your insights in the comments below.